from 01.01.2014 to 01.01.2019 Donskoy State Technical University (Department of economic security, accounting and law)
Rostov-na-Donu, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
Rostov-na-Donu, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
Rostov-na-Donu, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
CSCSTI 06.81
CSCSTI 06.35
Russian Classification of Professions by Education 38.05.01
Russian Classification of Professions by Education 38.02.01
Russian Library and Bibliographic Classification 6505
Russian Library and Bibliographic Classification 6523
Russian Library and Bibliographic Classification 6529
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7714
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7717
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 772
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7722
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7752
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 78
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7816
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7832
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7834
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7836
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 7837
BISAC BUS044000 Economics / Microeconomics
BISAC BUS027020 Finance / Financial Risk Management
BISAC BUS033070 Insurance / Risk Assessment & Management
The article discusses various methods for predicting the risk of bankruptcy: foreign and domestic; qualitative and quantitative, etc. An analytical review of the author's methods is made. Their classification is proposed. According to the authors, a significant drawback of the considered methods is not taking into account the risk of bankruptcy of the influence of external factors.
bankruptcy risk, forecasting techniques, classification, classification criteria, discriminant analysis, logistic regression, scoring models.
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2. Postanovlenie Pravitel'stva Rossiyskoy Federacii ot 20.05.94 № 498 «O nekotoryh merah po realizacii zakonodatel'stva o nesostoyatel'nosti (bankrotstve) predpriyatiy». URL: http://base.consultant.ru .
3. Postanovlenie Pravitel'stva Rossiyskoy Federacii ot 25.06.2003 № 367 «Ob utverzhdenii Pravil provedeniya arbitrazhnym upravlyayuschim finansovogo analiza». URL: http://www.consultant.ru
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7. Osnovnye polozheniya Logit-regressii. URL: http://www.uk.sagepub. com/burns/website%20material/Chapter%2024% 20%2 0Logistic% 20 regression.pdf.
8. Haydarshina, G.A. Metody ocenki riska bankrotstva predpriyatiya: dis. …kand. ekon. nauk : 08.00.10 / Haydarshina G. A. - M., 2009. - 253 s.
9. Altman, E.I. Zeta Analysis: A New Model to Identify Bankruptcy Risk of Corporation. / E.I. Altman, R.G. Haldeman, P. Narayanan //Journal of Banking and Finance - June 1977. - P. 23-46.
10. Ohlson, J. Financial Ratios and the Probabilistic Prediction of Bankruptcy / J. Ohlson // Journal of Accounting Research, 1980. - Vol. 6. - P. 12-45.
