from 01.01.2017 until now Rostov-na-Donu, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
from 01.01.2017 until now Rostov-na-Donu, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
UDC 33
CSCSTI 06.01
Russian Classification of Professions by Education 01.03.01
Russian Library and Bibliographic Classification 221
BISAC BUS000000 General
The article builds an econometric additive model of a time series based on quarterly GDP data, and also calculates the forecast of the data of the indicator under consideration for the 2nd half of 2020.
Seasonality, GDP, gross domestic product, forecast, additive model
1. Economic theory: textbook for University students studying in economic specialties / A. I. Balashov, T. D. Imamov, N. p. Kupreschenko et al.; ed. by N. D. Eriashvili. M.: unity-Dana, 2015. 527 p.
2. Econometrics: textbook / I. I. Eliseeva, S. V. Kuryshev, T. V. Kosteev etc.; under the editorship of I. I. Eliseeva. 2nd ed., reprint. Moscow: Finance and statistics, 2008, 576 p.
3. Kremer, N. S. Econometrica: textbook / N. S. Kremer, B. A. Putko. - M.: UNITY-DANA, 2010. 328 p.
4. Khairullina O. I., Bayanova O. V. Econometrics: basic course: textbook. Perm: CPI "Prokrost", 2019. 176 p.
5. Tsvil M. M. time series Analysis and forecasting: textbook. stipend. Rostov n/A: RTA, Rostov branch, 2016. 135 p.
6. Workshop in econometrics: studies'. manual / I. I. Eliseeva, S. V. Kuryshev, N. M. Gordienko etc.; under the editorship of I. I. Eliseeva. 2nd ed., reprint. Moscow: Finance and statistics, 2008, 344 p.
7. Tsvil M. M. Econometrica: lecture notes on the academic discipline. Rostov n/A: Russian customs Academy, Rostov branch, 2012. 86 p.
8. Federal state statistics service [Electronic resource]. URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru.



